Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 3.194069 3.372224 3.561213 3.777705 4.020223 4.285176 4.598837
2025-06-29 2.836049 3.062842 3.314255 3.616829 3.975605 4.393536 4.926819
2025-07-06 2.608638 2.867613 3.164958 3.537786 4.002267 4.576119 5.364134
2025-07-13 2.519171 2.819244 3.176434 3.644315 4.260255 5.075831 6.304799
2025-07-20 2.410822 2.736597 3.135844 3.678295 4.427635 5.485460 7.234581
2025-07-27 2.369239 2.730563 3.187607 3.834622 4.780353 6.226220 8.939938
2025-08-03 2.307044 2.691901 3.191577 3.924138 5.050156 6.906997 10.891658
2025-08-10 2.206481 2.595311 3.108885 3.879803 5.107168 7.247258 12.369395
2025-08-17 2.078297 2.454249 2.955070 3.715857 4.949259 7.164947 12.810529
2025-08-24 1.983965 2.353569 2.850818 3.616779 4.885623 7.249446 13.780859
2025-08-31 1.922648 2.294165 2.800369 3.594408 4.948006 7.599286 15.868990
2025-09-07 1.870979 2.245056 2.761041 3.584987 5.030629 8.014851 18.738312
2025-09-14 1.787609 2.154242 2.664768 3.491426 4.975544 8.175497 21.288655
2025-09-21 1.700769 2.055327 2.552100 3.363919 4.844027 8.132745 23.026232
2025-09-28 1.638109 1.987930 2.482659 3.302535 4.833404 8.402205 27.737572
2025-10-05 1.621183 1.984366 2.507972 3.401608 5.158635 9.734799 53.222965
2025-10-12 1.589267 1.957492 2.495919 3.435344 5.358140 10.857966 135.460002
2025-10-19 1.583070 1.967455 2.541151 3.575441 5.828237 13.395244 NaN
2025-10-26 1.563866 1.956976 2.553055 3.655902 6.184973 16.066139 NaN
2025-11-02 1.522611 1.911487 2.505559 3.618417 6.236206 17.340574 NaN
2025-11-09 1.463543 1.837027 2.407366 3.475075 5.983305 16.575552 NaN
2025-11-16 1.418548 1.782587 2.339983 3.388120 5.873256 16.700823 NaN
2025-11-23 1.389026 1.750641 2.308145 3.368702 5.945378 18.185306 NaN